Post-Yuletide: Festive bazaar ends as airlines fly empty, return to equilibrium

Post-Yuletide: Festive bazaar ends as airlines fly empty, return to equilibrium

  While the ‘Yuletide bazaar’ saw tickets peaking between N400,000 and N650,000 due to desperate demand, the post-holiday return to normalcy is proving to be a sober reality check for the industry, writes WOLE SHADARE As the “Yuletide Bazaar” winds down, the Nigerian aviation market is experiencing its traditional but sharp correction. The shift from the N300,000– N600,000 peak-season spikes back to low-season pricing is now in full swing, though the floor for these fares…

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How conflicts impact Africa, Middle-East global aviation profitability

How conflicts impact Africa, Middle-East  global aviation profitability

Africa remains the least profitable aviation region globally. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) forecasts that African carriers will generate just $200 million in net profit in 2026—a marginal 1.3% profit margin compared to the global average of $7.90 per passenger. The conflicts in the continent and the Middle-East have the potential to do more damage to aviation profitability, writes WOLE SHADARE The continent has seen conflicts in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, Sudan, Libya, and…

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Airlines on cliffhanger

Airlines on cliffhanger

The Nigerian aviation industry is often described as a quagmire—a complex, sticky situation where every attempt to solve one problem seems to trigger another. This goes beyond just high prices; it is a structural trap involving debt, taxes, and a lack of local technical self-sufficiency, writes WOLE SHADARE   To say Nigerian airlines are on a cliffhanger is a perfect metaphor for the suspense and high stakes of the carriers. This month marks a major…

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Hurdles, outlook for Nigerian carriers in 2026

Hurdles, outlook for Nigerian carriers in 2026

The aviation industry in 2025 was mixed. There were numerous benefits that the entire aviation ecosystem derived from the past year. WOLE SHADARE examines the outlook for the airline sub-sector for 2026 The nation’s economy enters 2026 on a trajectory of cautious optimism, having transitioned from post-reform stabilisation to a modest recovery, even if challenges persist. The same could be said of the aviation industry, particularly the airline sector. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts…

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Aviation Year 2025: Sector at critical reset point

Aviation Year 2025: Sector at critical reset point

Year 2025 was a study in contrasts, defined by significant regulatory and policy milestones set against the backdrop of a severe economic growth crash and record-high airfares, writes WOLE SHADARE In 2025, the sector moved beyond mere survival, hitting several historic milestones that mark a shift from potential to execution. Appraising the Nigerian aviation industry in 2025 reveals a sector at a critical reset point. While the industry is grappling with severe macroeconomic headwinds—specifically high…

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Skies of Promise: The Struggle Amid Africa’s Aviation Paradox

Skies of Promise: The Struggle Amid Africa’s Aviation Paradox

Paradoxically, a continent with some of the world’s lowest per capita incomes also has the highest aviation operating costs, operational inefficiency, and safety concerns, among others, writes WOLE SHADARE With a youth demographic boom, a burgeoning middle class, and economies eager to connect, Africa exhibits the fastest-growing demand for air travel globally. This promising development hints at boundless potential. Yet, scratch beneath the surface, and a stark paradox emerges: for all its soaring ambition, African aviation…

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Economics, physical toll, time saving of ultra-long-haul flights

Economics, physical toll, time saving of ultra-long-haul flights

The experience of an ultra-long-haul (ULH) flight is often a trade-off between the undeniable convenience of a non-stop journey and the physical and mental toll of spending 18 to 20 hours in a pressurised aluminium tube, writes WOLE SHADARE The economics of ultra-long-haul (ULH) flights, typically defined as services scheduled for 16 hours or more, are driven by specific high-cost factors and by a reliance on high-yield premium demand to achieve profitability. Ultra-long-haul flights push…

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Inside High-Stakes Nigeria’s First International Airshow

Inside High-Stakes Nigeria’s First International Airshow

Far from a mere spectacle of aerial acrobatics, the Nigerian international airshow is a high-stakes, multi-billion-dollar global marketplace, a diplomatic arena, and the engine room of the future of flight, writes WOLE SHADARE Historically, while Nigeria has a strong aviation sector dating back 100 years (celebrating a century of aviation in 2025), it has not hosted a major, internationally recognised International Air Show on the scale of events like Dubai, Farnborough, or Paris—until very recently….

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Recycled pilots fuel domestic airlines’ poaching war

Recycled pilots fuel domestic airlines’ poaching war

Just last week, Aviation Metric took a cursory look into the dearth of pilots, aircraft engineers and air traffic controllers; three critical professionals in the aviation industry. This week, the searchlight is on the practice of pilot recruitment, which is commonly referred to as poaching in the aviation industry. It has further exposed how the conditions of service, welfare, and other perks can force a pilot under a bond to seek a transfer of his service to…

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Pilots’, ATC shortage: High Demand, Low Supply

Pilots’, ATC shortage: High Demand, Low Supply

  The global shortage of pilots and Air Traffic Controllers (ATCs) is a systemic problem caused by a combination of generational shifts, financial barriers, and critical disruptions to the training pipeline, writes WOLE SHADARE   The Nigerian aviation industry faces a complex and paradoxical challenge: a severe shortage of experienced, type-rated personnel alongside a pool of unemployed, low-hour graduates. This is a critical issue that poses a threat to safety, limits operational capacity, and hinders the…

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